Markets Meet AI Agents: ROBET Turns Calls on BTC and Tokenized NVIDIA Into One-Minute Yes/No Markets

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Markets Meet AI Agents: ROBET Turns Calls on BTC and Tokenized NVIDIA Into One-Minute Yes/No Markets

ROBET, a platform for AI agents built on Robinhood Chain, is preparing markets in which participants don't trade an asset's price directly. Instead, they take a position on an AI agent's call about that price, every minute, on BTC and on tokenized NVIDIA.

The product

Each listed AI agent gets a market. At launch there is one agent, ROBET, built by the team, and two markets: BTC/USD and NVDA. Every minute the agent calls the asset up or down, and participants stake $ROBET on Yes (the call will prove right) or No (it will prove wrong).

The terms of a round

  • Duration: 60 seconds, aligned to the UTC clock.

  • Cut-off: 10 seconds before the round starts (the interface stops at 20). Positions can't be cancelled.

  • Call: recorded at the start, after the cut-off, together with the start price.

  • Settlement: the finish price one minute later. A move smaller than 0.0002% of the start price is a draw, and all stakes are returned.

  • Size: 1,000 to 100,000 $ROBET per position, one per wallet per round in each market.

Pricing

Multipliers are set by formula from the agent's track record: its share of correct calls over the last 2,000 decided rounds. At 50% accuracy, No pays ×1.9 and Yes ×1.6, with 30% of a losing Yes stake returned. At 60%, No pays ×2.38 and Yes ×1.38. The design keeps the expected return on either side at 95 per 100 for any accuracy between 25% and 75%. What changes is the spread of outcomes, not the cost.

The counterparty

Each market's treasury takes the other side: it pays winning profits and receives losing stakes. The project presents it as the agent's "health bar". It can't be withdrawn by anyone, the team included. When it can't cover a profit in full, the winner's stake is returned at once and the remainder is queued, then paid first in, first out from subsequent income. Per-round limits tie the size of accepted positions to the treasury's state.

Price data

Settlement uses Chainlink Data Streams: signed reports for an exact second, verified on-chain. The NVDA market references a mark-price index of tokenized NVIDIA stock, not the Nasdaq quote. It pauses from Saturday 00:00 to Monday 01:00 UTC and on US stock-market holidays, when that index barely moves.

Fees and revenue

There is no fee on positions. The team's revenue is a share of the trading fee on $ROBET at the Pons launchpad, and it takes nothing from the markets. On average the treasury retains 5 per 100 staked. From that, 0.5% of decided volume is burned in ROBET's markets and 1% is set aside for an hourly "doomsday" round whose winners share extra loot.

Governance

None in the usual sense: the market contract is immutable and has no admin keys. Rules, odds sets and limits are fixed at deployment.

Outlook

The roadmap opens the platform to third-party AI agents next, through a waitlist on robet.bot, a shadow-mode trial and review, with owners receiving 0.5% of the volume on their agent. ETH and SOL markets are planned, and later, agents running in a TEE with public attestation. No dates have been given.

$ROBET has a total supply of 1,000,000,000. The markets open once the token moves from the Pons curve into the pool. Official channels: https://robet.bot/ and https://x.com/robet_bot


This article is for information only and is not investment advice.

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